The Tragedy of the Uncommons

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An interesting phenomenon seems to be emerging: ultra-hyped projects are turning out to be crap. I am, of course, speaking ofAHaystack andADiaspora (you should follow these links, I am not going to go over the ground they cover, much).

The pattern here is that some good self-promoters come up with a cool idea, hype it up to journalists, who cannot distinguish it from the other incomprehensible cool stuff we throw at them daily, who duly write about how it'll save the world. The interesting thing is what happens next. The self-promoters now have to deliver the goods. But, for some reason, rather than enlisting the help of experts to assist them, they seem to be convinced that because they can persuade the non-experts with their hype they can therefore build this system they have been hyping. My instatheory[1] is that it'd dilute their fame if they shared the actual design and implementation. They've got to save the world, after all. Or we could be more charitable and followACialdini: it seems humans have a strong drive to be consistent with their past actions. Our heroes have said, very publicly, that they're going to build this thing, so now they have a natural tendency to do exactly what they said[2].

But the end result, in my sample of two, is disastrous. Haystack has completely unravelled as fundamentally flawed. Diaspora seems to be deeply rooted in totally insecure design. I hope I am preaching to the choir when I say that security is not something that should be bolted on later, and that the best way to do security design is to have the design reviewed as widely as possible. In both Haystack and DIaspora's cases that could, and should, have been a full public review. There is no excuse for this, it wastes a vast amount of enthusiasm and energy (and money) on ultimately destructive goals.

I don't have any great ideas on how to fix this, though. Yes, reporters getting expert assistance will help. Many of the experts in the security field are quite outspoken, it isn't hard to track them down. In Diaspora's case, perhaps one could have expected that Kickstarter would take a more active role in guidance and mentoring. Or if they already do, get it right.

Natural selection gets you every time.

BTW, if any journalists are reading this, I am absolutely happy to take a call to explain, in English, technological issues.

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Posted: September 26th, 2010
at 10:18pm by Koookiecrumbles


Categories: web,business,development

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