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Infosec Crystal Ball 2011

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Posted: December 17th, 2010
at 10:09pm by Koookiecrumbles

Categories: lists

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Why the Next Ten Years Will Be Exciting

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1.A DNA sequencing: Over the next decade gene sequencing prices are expected to continue to decline by over 50% per year.A That means that by the end of the decade we should probably know the genomes of a large fraction of the developed world population; of all important species of animals, plants and fungi; and of the microbial ecosystems in all sorts of natural environments.A This should enable everything from GATTACA style genetic analysis of adults and embryos to improved flavors of cheese via better bacterial fermentation, as well as very advanced personalized medicine.A The biggest questions relate to privacy and consent issues.A Will knowledge of one’s own genome be tightly regulated?A Will drugs ever be FDA approved for a market of one, and if not, how will personalized medicine work?A Stay tuned to find out.

2.A Regenerative Medicine: Already people are growing fingers from their own stem cells and growth factor infused protein scaffolds.A Soon decellularized organs and directed stem-cell differentiation should enable the replacement of most major organs.A Beyond that, such technologies could eventually lead to the creation of whole new synthetic organisms, though not, presumably, in the next decade.A Still, by 2020, while we may not yet be able to build werewolves, healthy people who receive rapid emergency responses should be almost as durable.A Shame to give up those dreams of bionic arms, but I’m pretty sure most people want flesh instead.A Eventually any desired enhancement gadgetry can be built into the protein scaffold, but the killer app a replacement a will be taken.

3.A Wireless broadband: Don’t you wish your cell phone sounded more like, you know, a phone?A Reallocation of wireless spectrum and continued expansion of cellular infrastructures should make this possible, via the allocation of more bandwidth to each phone call,A The continued replacement of voice by text, better technologies for compression and decompression and the like will accelerate the trend.A By the end of the decade, expect voice and video quality as good as you might expect from HDTV.

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Posted: December 12th, 2010
at 12:36pm by Koookiecrumbles

Categories: development,lists

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